Oh, East is East and West is West, and never the twain shall meet,
Till Earth and Sky stand presently at God’s great Judgment Seat;
But there is neither East nor West, Border, nor Breed, nor Birth,
When two strong men stand face to face, though they come from the ends of the earth!
The Ballad of East And West, Rudyard Kipling, 1889
The earth is divided exactly in half between the Europeans and non-Europeans and the world belongs nearly in whole to the non-Europeans.
The world, as it stands, has 7 billion people. Of these teeming masses of humanity, about 6.4 billion, majority colored and minority white, live outside five countries/regional blocs of the world, in descending order of the top five in global natural resource stocks (population listed in parentheses): Russian Federation (138 million), Australia (21 million), Canada (34 million), European Union (503 million) and United States of America (313 million), majority white and minority colored.
As it approaches mid-century, United States will join the remaining 6.4 billion with a population of about 350 million people of which 60 per cent, the majority, will be colored. The National Capital Region within 30 miles of the Washington monument is already showing symptoms of this occurring shift. New York City, Chicago and the State of California are not far behind.
The geopolitical dynamics of the north-south divide above and below the 40th parallel is now the ballad of east and west, of Kipling’s race and empire, the world split between all that is above 40 degree north latitude (Rome and Washington, DC) and west of 60 degree east longitude (Urals, the boundary of the European and the Asian geological plates, the divide between European and Asiatic Russia) and the rest (see permalink below)
This is now the Great Game: Between the insignificance of 6% of the world and the world of 94%. Between the economics of growth of about 600 million and the wisdom of zero growth of nearly 9.4 billion (see my comment as footnote below for the “how” of zero growth). Between the illusion of money and the reality of living and life. Between the anomaly of white and the pervasiveness of color. Between fascism and self-determination.
Game theoretic modeling is not pertinent to the problem of geo-economic convergence though intellectual property is more relevant to harmonize intellectual property rights (IPRs) around the world. Gaming complicates matters and increases risks because of the very nature of game theory in politics and economics which is heavily dependent on non-cooperative games and the ensuing analysis for Nash equilibria resulting in negative feedback loops and destructive competition in systems. Constructive competition can exist in positive feedback loops with intrinsic cooperative constraints for system and species survival outside the prisoner’s dilemma presumptions about human nature (see permalink below).
These are, however, the Nash Equilibria:
1. Fascism (non-cooperative)
2. Global Sustainability (non-cooperative to cooperative)
3. No Nash Equilibrium. The world falls apart due to status quo/conflict.
The white man’s insignificant future is, therefore, the white man’s burden in the status quo world of minority haves and majority have-nots and the minority powerful and the majority powerless. Human nature, unless we speciate, will not change.
One World is the natural consequence of the nature of geopolitics. Who will win and how is obvious but for the necessary delusions of the 6% minority white and resource-rich population since the Renaissance 600 years ago:
Step 1: 2012-2016 North-West Falls. The fall of the dollar and the euro. Has nuclear weapons and used them in war.
Step 2: 2016-2022 South-East enters North-West. Captures existing technology. Has nuclear weapons. Did not use them in war.
Step 4: 2050-2100 One world